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Wednesday, February 25, 2009 - 6:13 AM
Louis J. Sheehan, Esquire . In 2003, Republicans in the Texas state legislature proposed a bill
that would redistrict the state to increase the likelihood of
Republican victories. The Democratic representatives, lacking the votes
to defeat the measure, fled the state to deny a quorum. After two
standoffs (one lasting 45 days), a Democrat broke down and returned to
work, and Republicans pushed the measure through. In the next election,
Texas Republicans gained six seats in the U.S. House of
Representatives, for a total of 21 seats out of 32. Democrats
sued. The Republicans argued that the new districting was only
redressing past wrongs, as Republicans had held fewer than half of the
Texas congressional seats, even though they had 57 percent of the vote.
In 2006, the case reached the Supreme Court. http://louis0j0sheehan0esquire.wordpress.com
“Because there are
yet no agreed upon substantive principles of fairness in districting,
we have no basis on which to define clear, manageable, and politically
neutral standards,” Justice Anthony Kennedy had written two years
earlier in a similar case in which the judges upheld the redistricting
of Pennsylvania. “If workable standards do emerge … courts should be
prepared to order relief.” http://louis0j0sheehan0esquire.wordpress.com
In the intervening two years, no such standards had presented themselves. The Texas redistricting was upheld. Louis J. Sheehan, Esquire.
The
next time a redistricting case goes before the Supreme Court, a
mathematician says he can provide a method that may satisfy the court.
The solution, says Zeph Landau of the University of California,
Berkeley lies in cutting cake. Politicians figured out the power
of redrawing district boundaries back in 1812, when Governor Elbridge
Gerry lumped most of the Massachusetts Federalists into a single
district, allowing his own part to take control of all the other
districts in the state. Newspapers mocked the strange, salamander
shaped districts, saying he had “gerrymandered” the state. Oddly shaped
congressional districts are now common across the country. By
arranging the boundaries to lose big in a few districts and win the
rest by small but safe margins, a party can as much as double its
percentage of seats. So if, for example, 40 percent of people in the
state voted Democratic, redistricting could in theory make 80 percent
of the congressional seats Democratic. If, on the other hand, the
Republicans drew the boundaries when they had 60 percent of the vote,
they might be able to almost double their percentage and get every last
seat, although these theoretical maximums often can’t be realized
because of geographical constraints. So what’s fair? An
entire field of mathematics is devoted to answering just this kind of
question. For example, take the classic “I cut, you choose” method of
dividing cake: If I cut a cake into two pieces I’d be equally happy
with, and you pick which of the two you like better, then neither of us
will prefer the other person’s piece to the one we have. The division
will be fair in that sense even if our priorities are different. For
example, I might really want the rose made of frosting, while you might
care only about the size of your piece. Landau and his
collaborators, students Ilona Yershov and Oneil Reid of the City
College of New York, realized that the mathematics of fair division
could be used to solve the redistricting problem. They used a variation
on another cake-cutting method: A third party wields the knife, moving
left to right across the cake until one of us calls out, “Stop!” when
both of us like the two sides equally well. Then the person who called
out gets the left piece and the other gets the right one. The
researchers proposed that a variation of this method be used to divide
the state into two regions such that neither political party preferred
the other’s region. From there, each party would divide up its own
region however it liked. At first blush, this plan doesn’t seem
to solve the problem at all. After all, if one party has only 40
percent of the vote, why should it get a full half of the control of
the process of dividing the state into districts? But the
mathematicians showed that equally shared control will lead to about
the right outcome even if the parties get very different proportions of
the votes. If Democrats get only 40 percent of the vote, they can
divide up their half of the state to get at most 80 percent of the seats in
that region. If the Republicans get all the seats in their half, that
means the Democrats would get about 40 percent of the total seats,
which corresponds to their percentage of the total vote anyway. “The idea is to set up the rules of the game so that cheating isn’t really possible,” Landau says. Landau
points out that any restrictions ordinarily applied to the entire state
would continue to be applied to the two half-states. So, for example,
districts would continue to be required to have approximately equal
populations, and the Voting Rights Act would continue to require that
for both half-states, the majority of the population in some districts
be ethnic minorities. This fair division method offers the
alluring possibility that each party may feel it got the better deal.
The reason goes back to the cake: If I care most about the rose made of
frosting and you care most about the size of your piece, we each may
think our piece superior to the other’s. Similarly, Landau points out,
one political party might particularly want to be able to win the
district with a stadium in it, while the other party cared more about a
district with an important donor. The team presented its findings
in January at the Joint Mathematics Meetings in Washington, D.C., and
the research will appear in an upcoming issue of Social Choice and Welfare. Political
scientist David Epstein of Columbia University praised the approach as
innovative, but said it’s unlikely to be politically feasible. “The
idea that any subset of people is going to have 100 percent dictatorial
control of any portion of any state is totally incompatible with the
democratic process,” he says. Still, he believes the idea could be
useful in other settings, such as perhaps for sharing power within a
corporation. Landau points out that in the current scheme, the
ruling party has nearly dictatorial control already, and his scheme
assures that that control can’t be used unfairly. “The problem is that
the underpinnings of its fairness aren’t quite transparent,” he says.
“It requires a paper to explain it.” What is clear in any case is
that a solution is urgently needed. In the 2004 Pennsylvania case,
Justice David Souter remarked, “The increasing efficiency of partisan
redistricting has damaged the democratic process to a degree that our
predecessors only began to imagine.” Louis J. Sheehan, Esquire
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