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Wednesday, August 05, 2009 - 5:10 PM
24. Japanese
Diet Accepts Cabinet's Counter Proposals
At the Japanese Imperial
Conference on November 5, 1941, the Japanese counter proposals drawn up by the
Foreign Ministry were approved. Therefore, Tokyo wired Ambassador Nomura
further instructions concerning their delivery to the American government.
The Foreign Ministry instructed
Ambassador Nomura to submit proposal "A" for discussion in spite of
the fact that many of the terms in the last United States proposal had not met
with Tokyo's approval. If the United States objected too strongly to Proposal
"A", Ambassador Nomura was instructed to advise the Japanese Foreign
Ministry and then, subsequently, offer proposal "B" to the United
States.
Because the situation had become
so critical and no further delay could be tolerated, the Japanese government
informed Ambassador Nomura that it had made its final concession. However, it
warned Ambassador Nomura to avoid giving the United States the impression that
this proposal was actually Japan's ultimatum. [73]
The Japanese government was
certain that some agreement could be reached through the efforts of its
representatives, the Foreign Minister continued, since the problem of self
defense stemming from the Tripartite Treaty had been clarified to the United
States' satisfaction. American policies were set forth completely in the
proposal of June 21, 1941 and had been answered by the Japanese proposal of
September 25, 1941; and the new Japanese Cabinet took it for granted that all
further exchange of notes would be eliminated from the negotiations. The
Foreign Minister urged Ambassador Nomura to make it clear to the United States
that Japan wished to avoid the exchange of documents. [74]
Although Foreign Minister Togo
realized the difficulty of culminating negotiations immediately, he urged
Ambassador Nomura to complete all arrangements for the signing of a mutual
agreement by November 25, 1941. [75]
25. Ambassador
Nomura to Guard Secrecy of Conferences
In reply to Tokyo's instructions,
Ambassador Nomura informed the Japanese Ministry on November 5, 1941 that he
would continue his efforts to bring about a satisfactory understanding. Toward
this end, he planned to make arrangements for meeting with President Roosevelt
in the near future.
In his own opinion, Ambassador
Nomura felt that these conferences with President Roosevelt and Secretary Hull
should remain secret. However, if the Foreign Office desired that they be
considered as official interviews, Ambassador Nomura promised to announce them
to the public. [76] The Japanese
government agreed with Ambassador Nomura that the present informal
conversations should remain secret. If the newspapers of either country were
allowed to speculate on the questions discussed, at Ambassador Nomura's
conferences with President Roosevelt, the Foreign Ministry felt that the
effectiveness of an informal agreement would be impaired. In fact, the Japanese
government urged that Ambassador Nomura avoid publicity of any subsequent
conferences with American officials. [77]
26. Japanese
Newspapers Publicize Tokyo's Proposals
In spite of the efforts of both
governments to maintain the secrecy of these conferences, on November 5, 1941
Ambassador Nomura reported to Tokyo that the United States newspapers, through
the Domei News Agency in Japan and the Times Advertiser, had
learned
[73] IV, 42.
[74] IV, 43.
[75] IV, 44.
[76] IV, 45.
[77] IV, 46.
16
THE "MAGIC" BACKGROUND OF PEARL HARBOR
that November 15, 1941 was the
Japanese "deadline" for the successful conclusion of negotiations. In
fact, these two newspaper syndicates, known to be the official press of the
Japanese government and the Foreign Office, respectively, stated their
intention to list the seven Japanese demands upon the United States.
Realizing that the Japanese
government wished a favorable reception of its negotiations, Ambassador Nomura
believed that the publication of such statements in Japanese newspapers would
alienate American public opinion. Therefore, although appreciating the seriousness
of Japan's internal situation and the grave responsibility of Foreign Minister
Togo's position, Ambassador Nomura nevertheless urged that the Foreign Office
censor the material given to Tokyo newspapers. [78]
27. Japanese
and American Newspapers Impair Diplomatic Negotiations
In spite of censorship measures
enforced by the Japanese Foreign Office, newspaper speculation on the outcome
of the Japanese‑American conversations continued to impair diplomatic
negotiations. Even while Ambassador Kurusu was enroute to the United States to
supplement Ambassador Nomura's efforts for peace, the Tokyo Nichi Nichi was
labeling America's negotiations as a means of gaining time to complete military
preparations against Japan. [79]
Conditions as reported by the New
York Times, November 6, 1941 were so close to a crisis that the United
States Congress voted to remain in session indefinitely. [80]
Apparently Washington newspapers
did not place much faith in Mr. Kurusu's appointment as advisor to Ambassador
Nomura. In spite of Ambassador Nomura's efforts to curtail unfavorable
newspaper stories, he reported to Tokyo on November 6, 1941 that conjectures on
the effect of Mr. Kurusu's presence in Washington were being published
constantly. [81]
If these stories once reached
the Japanese public, Ambassador Nomura feared that conditions would become even
more tense. In view of the Japanese internal situation, Ambassador Nomura urged
that every precaution be taken to control the Japanese press and force them to
follow an editorial policy in keeping with the tone of Japanese‑American
conversations. [82]
29. Hull‑Nomura
Conversation (November 7, 1941)
a. State Department's Report
[84]
Accompanied by Mr. Wakasugi,
Ambassador Nomura called at Secretary Hull's apartment at his own request on
November 7, 1941. Without permitting the Japanese Ambassador to state the
purpose of his call, Secretary Hull immediately brought up the question of the
three American missionaries interned by the Manchurian authorities at Harbin.
Secretary Hull declared that similar situations, together with the extremist
policies voiced in the Japanese press, made it difficult for the United States
to continue normal diplomatic relations with Japan. When reports of anti‑American
activities were released in this country, Secretary Hull stated, people
questioned the advisability of improving relations with Japan. Ambassador
Nomura replied that until recently he had not received any instructions from
the new Japanese Cabinet. However, he now had the authority to resume the
conversations.
After deliberating on the
various proposals for peace, particularly on the American draft of June 21,
1941, the new Japanese Cabinet had decided upon the maximum concessions it
[78] IV, 47.
[79] New York Times, November 6, 1941, 1:4‑8.
[80] New York Times, November 6, 1941, 6:3.
[81] IV, 48.
[82] Ibid.
(No footnote 83 in text. LWJ)
[84] "Memorandum
of a Conversation"‑November 7, 1941, S.D. II, 706‑709.
17
would make in
order to alleviate the situation in the Far East. Referring to the three
principal questions upon which the respective views of the two countries had
diverged, Ambassador Nomura said that it would not be difficult to reconcile
the views concerning Japan's obligations under the Tripartite Pact and non‑discrimination
in international commercial relations. However, he was aware that some
difficulties would arise out of Japan's desire to retain certain troops in
North China and Inner Mongolia.
In view of the grave situation
which might arise if any misunderstandings or misinterpretations of policies
occurred at this time, Ambassador Nomura had asked for and received from his
government an experienced diplomat, namely Mr. Kurusu, the former Ambassador to
Germany. In view of Mr. Kurusu's Ambassadorial rank, Ambassador Nomura hoped
that President Roosevelt would speak with him. At this point in the
conversation, Ambassador Nomura handed Secretary Hull a document prepared by
the Japanese government in connection with its views on the withdrawal of
Japanese forces from China and French Indochina and the principle of non‑discrimination.
[85]
With regard to the Japanese
forces stationed in China as a result of the Sino‑Japanese War, the
Japanese government stated that it would be necessary to retain troops in
specified areas in North China, Inner Mongolia and Hainan Island for a certain
time after the restoration of peace between Japan and China. As soon as general
peace was restored, however, the other forces would begin their withdrawal
according to a separate agreement between Japan and China and this withdrawal
would be completed within two years after the peace treaty. When an equitable
basis was established in East Asia and the China affair settled, Japanese
forces would be recalled from French Indo‑China and, in this way, the
territorial sovereignty of that country would be guaranteed.
With regard to the principle of
commercial nondiscrimination, the Japanese government agreed to the application
of this principle throughout the Pacific area, including China. It was understood
at the same time, however, that the principle would be applied to the entire
world. [86]
After reading the document,
Secretary Hull asked concerning the proportion of Japanese troops to be
retained in the areas stated. In reply the Japanese Ambassador reminded
Secretary Hull that, under the Boxer Protocol, Japan had the right to station
troops in the Peiping and Tientsin areas. Since Soviet Russia maintained forces
in Outer Mongolia, Japan desired to station .enough of its own troops in Inner
Mongolia to balance those of Russia. Without specifying the exact number of
troops that Japan wished to retain in China, Ambassador Nomura began to discuss
the armed forces maintained by other countries in China. He referred
specifically to March 1927 when Generalissimo Chiang Kai‑Shek first
entered Shanghai. As a result of that action the British had requested Japan to
take joint action to prevent this measure. Yet, in spite of the fact that the
Japanese had declined to interfere in Chinese affairs, they soon after became
the object of a bitter Chinese boycott campaign. In discussing the Chinese
question, Secretary Hull said that he had mentioned these exploratory
conversations to the Chinese Ambassador but had not acquainted him with any of
the points under discussion.
However, before entering into
any formal negotiations with Japan, Secretary Hull reminded Ambassador Nomura
that the United States planned to negotiate with the Chinese, British and
Dutch. Secretary Hull asked Ambassador Nomura whether Japan would launch
[85] Ibid.
[86] Document
handed by the Japanese Ambassador (Nomura) to the Secretary of State on
November 7, 1941, S.D. II, 709‑710. For Japanese version of text
sent to Ambassador Nomura on November 4, 1941 and decoded by American
cryptanalysts see IV, 25‑28. It is well to note the explicit terms in
which the Japanese government instructs Ambassador Nomura on the presentation
of these proposals. For English translation of Japanese proposals sent to Tokyo
by Ambassador Nomura, see IV, 37‑39.
18
THE "MAGIC" BACKGROUND OF PEARL HARBOR
on a true new
order in the Far East and, in this way, gain its leadership in the Pacific if
the Chinese expressed an earnest desire to end the present war.
Referring again to the
advantages derived by the United States from the renunciation of its aggressive
policies in the Latin American countries, Secretary Hull expressed the
conviction that Japan would derive trade advantages from the adoption of a
similar policy in its relations with China. Secretary Hull hoped that some
concrete agreement could be worked out on the question of Japanese relations
with the Axis powers. Secretary Hull pointed out that the mere manifestation of
the desire for peace might not be adequate if a new government came into power
in Japan.
In view of the urgency of the
internal situation in Japan, Ambassador Nomura requested that the American
Department of State expedite the study of the document delivered on this day.
Ambassador Nomura requested that he be allowed an interview with President
Roosevelt. Stating that he would comply with the Ambassador's request,
Secretary Hull then asked whether this document was to be viewed in conjunction
with the previous Japanese documents which had been submitted. Replying in the
affirmative, Ambassador Nomura mentioned the United States' document of June
21, 1941 and the Japanese document of September 25, 1941. Secretary Hull
reminded him that the American document of October 2, 1941 was to be included
in this category. [87]
b. Ambassador Nomura's Report
After first scheduling an
appointment with Secretary Hull for Minister Wakasugi and himself, [88] and after ascertaining the phraseology and
interpretation of his government's latest proposals, [89] Ambassador Nomura visited Secretary Hull secretly on November
7, 1941. [90]
During the conversation with
Secretary Hull and Mr. Ballantine, Ambassador Nomura Louis J. Sheehan, Esquire explained that he had been
ordered to clarify his government's position to both President Roosevelt and
Secretary Hull in the hope of settling the various problems existing between
Japan and the United States. In reply Secretary Hull commented that the two
political factions at varying odds in the world today were threatening to throw
all civilization into the chaos of anarchism. Therefore, Secretary Hull urged
that American and Japanese representatives find a basis for maintaining peace
in the Pacific. Ambassador Nomura took this opportunity to point out that
agreements had been reached on two of the three outstanding Pacific problems.
In regard to the third, the stationing of troops in China, the Japanese
government was now prepared to make further concessions in order to meet the
demands of the United States. Because of the conciliatory attitude of his
government, Ambassador Nomura requested that the United States take a
philosophical view toward the questions relating to the Far East. [91]
In view of the critical domestic
situation in Tokyo which had become more tense during the six months of
informal conversations with the United States, Japan was now prepared to make
the maximum number of possible concessions in order to bring the present
negotiations to a satisfactory close. After these introductory remarks
Ambassador Nomura handed Secretary Hull the Japanese government's counter
proposal. [92]
After reading this document
Secretary Hull showed indications of being satisfied with Japan's comments on
America's desire for non‑discrimination in commerce. However, Secretary
Hull refused to commit himself regarding Japan's proposal for the withdrawal of
troops, or toward Japan's attitude regarding the rights of self defense. [93] Nevertheless, the
[87] "Memorandum of a Conversation"‑November
7, 1941, S.D. I, 706‑709.
[88] IV, 50.
[89] IV, 51.
[90] IV, 52.
[91] IV, 53.
[92] IV, 54.
[93] IV,
52, 54.
19
American
Secretary of State did ask what proportion of Japanese troops would be
withdrawn from China. Ambassador Nomura replied that Japan was willing to
withdraw the greater number of its troops now stationed in China. Then the
Japanese Ambassador went on to emphasize Japan's attitude toward "the
right of self‑defense." After examining the Japanese proposals more
carefully, Secretary Hull said the United States government would be ready to
give Japan its reply. [94]
At the same time, however,
Secretary Hull continued, the United States representatives would consider it
necessary to discuss the methods for maintaining peace in the Pacific with
representatives of Great Britain, China and the Netherlands East Indies. From
Secretary Hull's remarks Ambassador Nomura concluded that China had already
been consulted regarding the matters relating to the settlement of its affairs
in the Far East. As if to prove Ambassador Nomura's assumption Secretary Hull
then inquired what Japan's attitude would be if the United States arranged for
conversations between "the person of highest influence and integrity in
China" with suitable Japanese representatives. Minister Wakasugi asked if
the United States would first determine whether China desired to resume
friendly relations with Japan. Since Secretary Hull claimed only to have
thought of this suggestion during the day's conversation, he declined to
expound on the theory. However, he requested that Ambassador Nomura and
Minister Wakasugi relay this proposal to their government and ascertain its
attitude toward the matter. [95]
During this conversation
Secretary Hull brought up the incident arising out of the imprisonment of
American missionaries in Harbin. Reminding Ambassador Nomura that three
Japanese Naval officers had been allowed to return to Tokyo, Secretary Hull
stated that the United States government could not sympathize with Japan's
unreasonable treatment of American citizens. Insisting that this incident
involved only Manchurian officials and not the Japanese government, Ambassador
Nomura, nevertheless, promised to refer the question to Tokyo with the request
that suitable steps be taken to release the missionaries in question. [96]
30. Tokyo
Re‑emphasizes Policy of Self‑Defense
After receiving Ambassador
Nomura's report of his conversation with Secretary Hull, Tokyo asked the
Japanese Ambassador in Washington if he had explained in detail Japan's views
concerning the rights of self‑defense. [97]
Foreign Minister Togo reminded Ambassador Nomura that he had elaborated on this
Japanese policy in his earlier instructions concerning the Japanese counter‑proposals.
If this message had not reached Ambassador Nomura in time, Foreign Minister
Togo requested that the Japanese Ambassador make certain to explain the matter
fully to the American representatives. [98]
31. Mr. Horiuchi
Arranges for Undelayed Delivery of Telegrams
In view of the urgency of the
present American‑Japanese negotiations Mr. Horiuchi, telegraphic clerk of
the Japanese Embassy in Washington, felt it necessary to make certain
provisions for the delivery of urgent telegraphic messages. [99] On November 8, 1941 he informed the
Japanese Foreign Office in Tokyo that with a crisis so near at hand all
instructions between Tokyo and Washington must be received without any delay.
By way of emphasizing his point Mr. Horiuchi reminded the Japanese Foreign
office that at 9:56 p.m. on November 5, 1941 he had sent Ambassador Nomura's
message relating to the English translations
[94] IV, 54.
[95] IV, 55‑56.
[96] IV, 57.
[97] IV, 58.
[98] Ibid.
[99] IV, 59.
20
THE "MAGIC" BACKGROUND OF PEARL HARBOR
of the Japanese
counter proposals. It was presumed that this message reached Tokyo on November
6, 1941. However, the Japanese reply did not arrive in Washington until 8:20
a.m. Washington time, on November 7, 1941. Since Ambassador Nomura's
appointment with Secretary Hull was scheduled for 9:00 a.m. on November 7,
1941, the Japanese Embassy was allowed only forty minutes in which to decode
and revise the message. In view of the fact that all officials connected with
the telegraphic office remained on duty all night when expecting an urgent
message from Tokyo, Mr. Horiuchi requested that the Foreign Office send any
reply over the wires immediately regardless of the hour. Formerly, Mr. Horiuchi
continued, the telegraph company notified the Embassy whenever a "very
urgent" telegram was received. Since the Japanese Foreign Office had
recently changed the word to "kinqu" the delivery of many important
messages had been delayed. In order to avoid this delay in the future, Mr.
Horiuchi asked that all important telegrams be captioned "very
urgent". [100]
In replying to Mr. Horiuchi's
request the telegraphic section of the Foreign Office in Tokyo stated that in
the future all messages headed by the words "kinqu" or
"daiqu" were to be given the same handling by the telegraphic
companies as those marked "very urgent". By way of explaining the
delay in replying to Ambassador Nomura's message, Tokyo stated that unfavorable
atmospheric conditions had held up the dispatch until 1734 on November 7, 1941.
[101]
32. Foreign
Ministry Bans Publication of Negotiations
Agreeing with Ambassador
Nomura's request that secrecy be maintained throughout the Japanese‑American
negotiations, [102] the Foreign Office
stated that it would attempt to guide public opinion by censoring unfavorable
comments regarding the present conversations. [103]
Furthermore, Tokyo promised that the contents of these negotiations would be
kept from the press and that any information regarding the time of the Japanese‑American
conversations would be suppressed. Already the Japanese government had warned
the Times that the publication of any contents capable of exciting anti‑Japanese
feeling in the United States would bring about dire consequences. While
promising to curtail the activities of Japanese newspapers in Tokyo, the
Foreign Office took the opportunity of pointing out security breaks in the
newspapers throughout the United States. For example, the Domei office in
Washington had already printed articles entirely out of keeping with Tokyo's
policy of maintaining a calm and patient attitude toward the American
conversations. [104]
To be more explicit Foreign
Minister Togo referred to the Associated Press dispatch from Manila which quoted
Ambassador Kurusu as stating, "I am going to Washington but I have no
great hope for a successful conclusion to the negotiations." [105] As a result of this newspaper report, the
American public, felt that no new compromise which Japan offered would be able
to meet the demands of the United States. [106]
33. President
Roosevelt Confers with Naval Leaders (November 7, 1941)
On November 8, 1941 Ambassador
Nomura reported that on the previous day President Roosevelt had conferred
secretly with Secretary of the Navy Knox, Chief of Naval Operations, Admiral
Stark, and other American naval leaders. Although uncertain of the actual
purpose of the meeting, Ambassador Nomura surmised that President Roosevelt
wished to discuss
[100] Ibid.
[101] IV, 60.
[102] IV, 47.
[103] IV, 61.
[104] Ibid.
[105] IV, 62; N.Y. Times, Nov. 9, 1941, 1:40.
[106] Ibid.
21
the latest
Japanese counter proposals and to formulate a method of withdrawing American
Marines from China. [107]
34. Japan
Interested in Secretary Hull's Proposed Settlement of the China Affair
After carefully considering
Ambassador Nomura's report on his conversations with Secretary Hull, the
Japanese government exhibited great interest in Secretary Hull's proposed
settlement of the China affair. [108] In
view of the fact that Secretary Hull had suggested that a high ranking Chinese
official discuss Far Eastern problems with the Japanese representative, the
Japanese government felt that the United States was now willing to permit Japan
and China to settle their differences directly and without American
interference. Naturally Tokyo expected that Generalissimo Chiang Kai‑shek
would initiate the move for peace. Recognizing Secretary Hull's suggestion as a
great contribution toward Sino‑Japanese peace, Foreign Minister Togo
urged Ambassador Nomura to secure more information on America's concrete plans
for carrying the suggestion into effect. [109]
Foreign Minister Togo felt that
the United States, as well as Japan, was fully aware of the importance of the
Chinese question on Far Eastern peace. If the United States actually proposed
to leave the settlement of peace terms up to the Japanese Chinese governments
themselves, then Tokyo felt the question of withdrawing its troops from China
could be left out of future negotiations with the United States. In this way
not only could Japanese‑Chinese peace be effected without further
American interference, but the relations between Japan and the United States
could be settled quickly and satisfactorily. Before going ahead with Secretary
Hull's proposal, however, the Japanese government felt it necessary to secure a
guarantee that the United States would not interfere with the peace terms
established between Japan and China. This guarantee would naturally include the
cessation of any American activities designed to aid Generalissimo Chiang Kai‑shek
in his war upon Tokyo. Naturally the Japanese government also expected that an
agreement between Japan and the United States for the settlement of their
respective problems in the Pacific would be signed without further delay. [110]
If Ambassador Nomura determined
that Secretary Hull's suggestion was a workable one, then the Japanese
Ambassador was to eliminate the stipulations regarding Japanese‑Chinese
peace from proposal A submitted to the American government; instead that
section of proposal B, requesting that the United States refrain from any
action detrimental to the establishment of peace between Japan and China,
should be substituted in its place.
In view of the fact that Foreign
Minister Togo firmly believed the United States sincerely wished to establish
an agreement between its government and Japan, he felt that Secretary Hull's
proposal could be carried out. Nevertheless, the Japanese government insisted
that its negotiations with the United States be brought to a satisfactory
conclusion even before the Japanese‑Chinese peace was concluded.
Furthermore, Foreign Minister Togo reemphasized the fact that the United States
must cease all aid to Generalissimo Chiang Kai‑shek during Japanese peace
negotiations. [111]
35. Japan
Seeks Facts on American‑British Attitude Toward Axis
In order to determine the true
facts concerning the existing international situation, the Japanese Vice‑Chief
of the General Staff on November 9, 1941 in a circular message to the
[107] IV, 63.
[108] IV, 64.
[109] Ibid.
[110] IV, 65.
[111] IV, 66.
22
THE "MAGIC" BACKGROUND OF PEARL HARBOR
Embassies abroad
requested any and all information regarding the British and American attitude
toward Japan and Germany. [112]
In order to determine to what
extent. Japan could go before the two Allies would open war on the Axis Powers,
Tokyo asked for detailed information regarding American reciprocal relations
with Japan and Germany and the military, political and economic union between
the United States, Great Britain, China, Holland and Russia. Japan also wished
to determine the influence that it had upon America, Great Britain and these
other countries, and to see how greatly the Japanese‑American
negotiations had affected the international situation.
Since Japan was aware of the
American and British increased defenses in the Pacific, Tokyo asked for an
evaluation of the present situation regarding the expansion of the island bases
scattered around the Pacific, the dispatch of additional American and British
military strength to the South Pacific and to the Aleutians, and, finally, the
movements of American and British troops in China, the southwest Pacific and in
Japan. [112a]
36. Grew‑Togo
Conversation (November 10, 1941)
a. Ambassador Grew's Report [113]
During a meeting on November 10,
1941 at which Mr. Togo, Ambassador Grew, Counselor Dooman and Mr. Kase were
present, the Japanese Foreign Minister referred to a conversation with the
American Ambassador held on October 30, 1941 during which he had asserted his
desire to maintain friendly relations between the United States and Japan.
After carefully studying the
documents which had been passed by the representatives of the two countries
thus far, Mr. Togo was more determined than ever to maintain peace in the
Pacific. Keeping in mind that the object of the present Japanese Cabinet was to
establish a "Greater East Asia", as its contribution to world peace,
Mr. Togo's government had formulated new proposals and sent them to Ambassador
Nomura as the basis for negotiations with President Roosevelt and Secretary
Hull. At this point, Ambassador Grew emphasized that the conversations taking
place between the two governments were "only preliminary and exploratory".
While not wishing to press the point, Mr. Togo stated that he felt the time had
come for formal and official negotiations.
Then Mr. Togo thanked the
American government through Ambassador Grew for the assistance which it had
given Mr. Kurusu in his journey from Tokyo to Washington to take his place as
advisor to Ambassador Nomura. Aware of Ambassador Grew's previous efforts to re‑establish
friendly relations between Japan and the United States, Mr. Togo pledged his
cooperation toward finding a compatible solution. Nevertheless, after reviewing
the documents recording the conversations which had already taken place,
Foreign Minister Togo believed that the United States lacked an adequate
appreciation of the Far Eastern situation. While Secretary Hull was apparently
aware, from his own statements, that Japan was a stabilizing force in the Far
East, the attitude of the United States government as a whole did not support
this fact. Foreign Minister Togo felt that the United States government must
take into consideration that Japan had been at war with China for four and a
half years and this had a strong bearing on the Pacific situation. [114] Foreign Minister Togo then recalled a
conversation between Secretary Hull and Minister Wakasugi on October 16, 1941
during which Secretary Hull had remembered telling former Ambassador Saito that
he recognized Japan as a stabilizing force and was prepared to express such
recognition in an official manner. [115]
[112] IV, 67. This message was not translated until
February 3, 1945.
[112a] Ibid.
[113] Memorandum by the Ambassador in Japan
(Grew)" November 10, 1941, S.D. II, 710‑714.
[114] Ibid.
[115] This statement attributed to Secretary Hull by
Foreign Minister Togo is not recorded in Secretary Hull's memorandum of the
conversation‑see S.D. II, 687‑689.
23
Although the Japanese government
had repeatedly attempted to approach the American point of view during the past
six months, Foreign Minister Togo did not believe that the United States had
attempted in, any way to study sympathetically Japan's position. America was
apparently unaware that the population of Japan had increased to approximately
100,000,000 and in order to support this increasing number of people it would
be necessary to secure more raw materials. In order to offset this growing
situation, further delay in arriving at a satisfactory conclusion to the
present conversations could not be tolerated. Foreign Minister Togo urged that
the United States government adopt a statesmanlike position by overcoming the
major difficulties by the time the Japanese Diet met on November 15, 1941.
Foreign Minister Togo continued by saying that the new Cabinet had arrived at
the maximum number of concessions which Japan could make to the United States
government. [116] With this statement the
Japanese Foreign Minister handed Ambassador Grew the new Japanese proposals. [117] and then commented upon them.
Although the Japanese proposals
of September 25, 1941 were based largely on those of the United States issued
on June 21, 1941, Foreign Minister Togo recognized that it contained many
unsatisfactory clauses with regard to both text and substance. Nevertheless, in
order to expedite the present conversations, Foreign Minister Togo had used the
Japanese draft of September 25, 1941 as the basis for these which he was now
handing to Ambassador Grew. However, they contained certain modifications in
order to meet the United States proposals as set forth in the American
memorandum of October 2, 1941. [118]
In regard to the attitudes of
both governments toward the European War, it was Foreign Minister Togo's
understanding that the views expressed in the Japanese draft of September 25,
1941 were agreeable to both governments. In the matter of commercial
discrimination the Japanese government had expanded its concessions in these
new proposals in order to meet the requirements set down by the United States.
Recognizing that the question of Japanese troops in China remained the greatest
obstacle to the successful conclusion of the conversations, the Japanese
government, in spite of grave domestic problems, had made further concessions.
Since Japan realized that
British interests in the Far East would be affected by the discussions between
Japan and the United States, Foreign Minister Togo appreciated Secretary Hull's
desire to consult the British government. In fact, he hoped that the United
States would persuade the British government to conclude an agreement with
Japan along the same lines as the one being discussed between Japan and the
United States.
At the conclusion of these
observations on the new Japanese proposals, Foreign Minister Togo again urged
that Ambassador Grew continue his cooperation toward a speedy end to the
negotiations. Foreign Minister Togo felt that Tokyo should not merely duplicate
the conversations taking place in Washington but should supplement exchanges of
information already handled in the Washington conferences with the goal of
expediting the progress of peace.
Ambassador Grew did not feel
that he had the authority to debate at the present time the questions which
would be discussed in Washington; however, he did raise three points pertinent
to those discussions. Ambassador Grew disagreed with the idea that the United
States government did not recognize the situation in the Far East. He felt that
Ambassador Nomura in Washington and the Japanese Embassy as a whole had given
the United States a very clear picture of the problems there. Foreign Minister
Togo's description of Japan as a "stabilizing force in East Asia" was,
Ambassador Grew stated, open to very wide interpretation.
[116] S.D. II, 710‑714.
[117] See "Document handed by Japanese Ambassador
(Nomura) to the Secretary of State on November 7, 1941", S.D. 11,
709‑710.
[118] S.D.
II, 710‑714.
24
THE "MAGIC" BACKGROUND OF PEARL HARBOR
However, Ambassador Grew
realized that Foreign Minister Togo's observation that Japan must have access
to necessary supplies penetrated to the very center of the problem. Here
Ambassador Grew took the opportunity to point out that Secretary Hull's
peaceful program visualized for Japan a free flow of trade and commerce and the
opening of new markets for its industries.
In reply, Foreign Minister Togo
admitted that the Japanese Embassy had reported the Far Eastern situation
accurately to the American State Department, but he still doubted whether the
United States government appreciated its seriousness. By way of illustrating
his point, Foreign Minister Togo referred to the Russian troops stationed in
Outer Mongolia, recognized as part of China, and he remarked that no one had as
yet objected to the presence of these troops. In answering Ambassador Grew's
comment on the "interpretation of stabilizing force in East Asia",
Foreign Minister Togo stated that it could be understood from a purely common
sense point of view. In regard to Ambassador Grew's statements on the question
of assuring raw materials to Japan, Foreign Minister Togo referred briefly to
the economic pressure applied by the United States which had menaced the
national existence of Japan to a far greater degree than the direct use of
force. He warned of the possibility of Japan's being forced to measures of self‑defense
in order to overcome the effects of continued economic pressure. If the
American government realized that Japan would collapse if forced to sacrifice
the fruits of its protracted war with China, Foreign Minister Togo believed
that the United States would conclude the conversations successfully without
further delay.
Ambassador Grew pointed out that
Japan could not hope to retain the fruits of aggression and, at the same time,
propose the rejection of aggression and force. However, Foreign Minister Togo
stated that Japan was not conducting an aggressive war with China. Then he
insisted that under the plea of self‑defense, the American government had
resorted to measures far beyond those generally recognized by international law
as defensive. Summing up his opinions, Foreign Minister Togo stated that
theoretical talks should end and that conversations in the future should be
pursued along realistic lines. [118a]
b. Foreign Minister Togo's
Report [119]
On November 10, 1941 Foreign
Minister Togo met with Ambassador Grew and Counselor Dooman in order to inform
the American representatives that after a conference between the Foreign Office
and the military high command the Japanese government was now prepared to
submit its final proposals. After examining the results of the negotiations
between Japan and the United States so far, Foreign Minister Togo had come to
the conclusion that the United States did not have a workable understanding of
the far Eastern situation. In spite of the fact that Secretary Hull called
Japan the stabilizing influence of the Pacific, Foreign Minister Togo said it
was obvious from his other remarks that he did not fully appreciate Japan's
actual status. Because the United States lacked this understanding it had
refused to make any concessions whatsoever during the six months' long
conversations with the Japanese representatives. Apparently the United States
did not take into consideration the fact that Japan's population of 100,000,000
people was ever increasing, and it was necessary for them to obtain raw
materials in order to maintain their existence. Urging the United States
government to take all these points into consideration in future negotiations,
Foreign Minister Togo stated emphatically that unless some change was evident
in America's attitude the Japanese people as a whole would be forced to doubt
the sincerity of the American government. [120]
[118a] Ibid.
[119] IV, 68-71.
[120] IV, 68
25
After these preliminary remarks
Foreign Minister Togo handed Ambassador Grew the English text of the final
Japanese counter proposals. [121]
In an attempt to clarify certain
points contained in these proposals, Foreign Minister Togo said that his
government believed it had set forth its attitude toward the European war fully
in the Japanese proposal of September 25, 1941. Therefore, it had seen no
reason to elaborate on that point further in these present proposals. In regard
to the policy of nondiscrimination in commerce, Japan had made more liberal
concessions in order to meet the demands of the United States. As a final
attempt to reach an understanding regarding, the important problem of Japanese
troops in China the Japanese government had decided to make further
compromises. In view of the liberal concessions made them, Foreign Minister
Togo urged that the United States accept Japan's latest proposals and also
induce Great Britain to sign a similar agreement with Japan. Since he had no
instructions from Washington, Ambassador Grew declined to pass his opinion on
the Japanese proposals. However, he did feel it necessary to point out to
Foreign Minister Togo that the United States government had a very clear
picture of the Oriental situation since he himself had submitted detailed
reports. Furthermore, Ambassador Grew felt that the present negotiations were
aimed at supplying Japan all the materials necessary to maintain an
advantageous position in the Far East. [122]
While expressing his
appreciation of Ambassador Grew's cooperation, Foreign Minister Togo refuted
the Ambassador's insistence that the present negotiations were designed to
grant Japan a larger market for purchasing raw materials by pointing out that
America's freezing regulations had placed such strong economic pressure on
Japan that the Japanese people themselves were beginning to feel the need for
effecting even stronger measures for self‑defense. From the attitude of
the United States toward China, Foreign Minister Togo continued, it was obvious
that the American government wished to ignore the sacrifices that the Japanese
people had been forced to make during the four and one‑half years of
warfare. In view of that fact, it would be suicidal for Japan to make such
liberal concessions to China as the United States government desired. At this
point in the conversation Counselor Dooman interrupted Foreign Minister Togo to
state that the United States could never accept the results of aggression. Foreign
Minister Togo replied that the Japanese government had never considered its war
with China one of aggression. Any military action taken by Japan in the Far
East, he continued, had been merely in the interest of self‑defense.
Although not wishing to argue this point further, Foreign Minister Togo
insisted that the United States had been wrongfully magnifying Japan's moves in
the Pacific. [123]
From the conversation Foreign
Minister Togo concluded that the United States still considered that its negotiations
with Japan were in the preliminary stage. Ambassador Grew had continually
referred to them merely as "conversations". Foreign Minister Togo had
stressed that by this time the conversations were well within the realm of
"negotiations". Ambassador Grew was apparently satisfied with this
term. [124]
37.
Ambassador Nomura Reveals America's Pessimistic Attitude Toward the
Negotiations
From informal discussions with
various American officials Ambassador Nomura came to the conclusion that
America regarded its present negotiations with Japan in a pessimistic light.
On November 10, 1941 Ambassador
Nomura sent a summary of the remarks of these Americans to the Foreign Office
in Tokyo. [125] As one example of
America's attitude Ambassa‑
[121] IV, 25‑28.
[122] IV, 69.
[123] IV, 70.
[124] IV, 71.
[125] IV, 72.
26
THE "MAGIC" BACKGROUND OF PEARL HARBOR
dor Nomura
pointed to a conversation between Frederick Moore, legal advisor to the
Japanese Embassy in Washington, and Senator Thomas of the Senate Foreign Relations
Committee. Mr. Moore had reported to Ambassador Nomura that the United States
was prepared to fight if Japan made another invasion in the South Pacific. Not
only was the American navy ready for action, but psychologically, the American
people were expecting a war.
On the previous evening a member
of President Roosevelt's Cabinet had discussed the question of Japanese‑American
relations with Ambassador Nomura. In view of his friendship with the Japanese
Ambassador, this unnamed Cabinet member stated frankly that the United States
government was expecting another aggressive move on the part of Japan in the
Far East within a few days. Because of this information neither President
Roosevelt nor the United States government, as a whole, believed that Ambassador
Kurusu's arrival in the United States would be able to improve the present
situation. In an attempt to offset this feeling Ambassador Nomura had explained
that the Japanese people were forced to take some action because of the
American freezing negotiations. Nevertheless, anxious to avoid a war with the
United States, Japan desired an immediate agreement. Ambassador Nomura's
remarks, however, failed to convince the American Cabinet member. [126]
With the exception of the Daily
News and the Hearst papers, Ambassador Nomura reported American newspapers and
magazines held the opinion that the American people were more eager for war
with Japan than with Germany. Ambassador Nomura firmly believed that the
British government was using this American attitude to its own advantage by
initiating negotiations for joint Anglo‑American action in the Pacific.
Ambassador Nomura reminded his government that at the present time Britain was
forced to divert some of its fleet to the Pacific. Even in the event that President
Roosevelt and other American statesmen did not desire to replace the British
fleet in the Far East with American warships, Ambassador Nomura had it on good
authority that the United States could not stop its aid to Britain since by
this time it had become a question of saving American "face."
Ambassador Nomura concluded his report by stating that he was to confer with
President Roosevelt and would submit a more detailed statement on the results
of the conversation. [127]
38. Roosevelt‑Nomura
Conversation (November 10, 1941)
a. Secretary Hull's Report
[128]
Accompanied by Minister
Wakasugi, Ambassador Nomura called on President Roosevelt and Secretary Hull on
November 10, 1941. After a few preliminary remarks, Ambassador Nomura read the
following communication from the Japanese government. He recalled to the
American representatives' minds that on September 25, 1941 the Japanese
government made its last proposals. From the observations of the American State
Department seen in the answering document of October 2, 1941, the Japanese
government had determined that the present difficulties arose from three major
points: (1) the application of the principle of non‑discrimination in
international commercial relations; (2) the attitude of the two governments toward
the European War; (3) the question of the stationing and withdrawing of
Japanese forces.
Ambassador Nomura stated that,
in regard to the principle of non‑discrimination, the Japanese government
had now decided to agree to its application in all the Pacific areas including
China, provided that the principle was similarly applied to the rest of the
world. Since Secretary Hull had repeatedly stated that it was his long‑cherished
desire to apply the non‑discriminatory principle to the whole world,
Ambassador Nomura felt that the United States government would be gratified at
Japan's statement.
[126] Ibid.
[127] IV, 73.
[128] "Memorandum by the Secretary of State"‑November
10, 1941, S.D. II, 715‑719.
27
On the second question regarding
the European war, the Japanese government had proposed on September 25, 1941
that both governments be guided in their conduct by considerations of
preservation and self‑defense. However, Ambassador Nomura had been
instructed to inquire whether the United States would give assurance that it
had no intention of interpreting "preservation and self‑defense"
too liberally. On the basis of reciprocity, the Japanese government was willing
to give similar reassurances. In the Japanese proposals of September 25, 1941
it was stated that "in case the United States should participate in the
European war, Japan would decide entirely independently in the matter of
interpretation of the Tripartite Pact between Japan, Germany and Italy and
would likewise determine what actions might be taken by way of fulfilling the
obligations in accordance with the said interpretation". Under the present
circumstances, Japan could not make any further concessions in this matter for,
unless there was mutual trust and confidence between Japan and the United
States, a thousand words would not be a satisfactory assurance. [128a]
However, in regard to the
stationing and withdrawal of Japanese forces, the government in Tokyo had
decided to submit further guarantees. Japanese forces would be retained in
specified areas of North China, Inner Mongolia and Hainan Island for a certain
required time after the restoration of a Japanese‑Chinese peace. The
withdrawal of forces from the other parts of occupied China would be
accomplished within two years after the establishment of peace and order.
Ambassador Nomura emphasized, however, that the Japanese government had made a
great many more concessions along these lines than previously. He hoped that
the United States government would agree that the complete and immediate withdrawal
of Japanese forces from all of China was impracticable at the present time. The
recall of forces from French Indo‑China would follow the firm
establishment of equitable peace in East Asia by the settlement of the China
affair.
After completing his
observations on the concessions made by the new Japanese government, Ambassador
Nomura read a statement which he had prepared. As viewed from the Japanese
standpoint, Ambassador Nomura said, the United States government had shown
little signs of reciprocating the concessions forwarded by Japan in an endeavor
to terminate the six months of informal conversations successfully. Ambassador
Nomura declared that for this reason certain factions in Japan viewed the true
intentions of the United States government with skepticism. Japanese public
opinion viewed the freezing of Japanese assets as economic warfare insomuch as
it cut them off from the supply of materials vital to their industries. From
reports of the growing intensity of the situation, Ambassador Nomura concluded
that an amicable and satisfactory understanding must be arrived at without any
unnecessary loss of time. In an effort to surmount the present difficulties,
the Japanese government had submitted these new proposals. Ambassador Nomura
was of the firm opinion that if some understanding were reached by the two
countries, the psychological effect upon the Japanese people would be extremely
favorable. [128b]
Ambassador Nomura then stated
that Ambassador Kurusu had been sent to assist him in the present conversations
and that parallel conversations would take place in Tokyo between Foreign
Minister Togo and Ambassador Grew. Attempting to forestall any
misinterpretations of the statements he had made, Ambassador Nomura asked that
President Roosevelt and Secretary Hull forgive his transgression from the
terminology of trained diplomats since his main objective was the establishment
of peace.
In speaking of the present
commercial policy which was unfavorable toward Japan, Ambassador Nomura
mentioned the sea conference which had taken place between President Roosevelt
and Prime Minister Churchill. He complained that when Japan went
[128a] Ibid.
[128a] Ibid.
28
THE "MAGIC" BACKGROUND OF PEARL HARBOR
into Shantung,
they were allowed to remain only some six years, at the end of which time they
were forced to move out their troops.
As a means of establishing a
basis for peace, stability and order in the Pacific area and, in the time to
come, throughout the world, President Roosevelt said he believed it essential
to lay practical emphasis on the sound philosophy of human welfare and that the
exploratory conversations would achieve favorable results as the American
government would expedite the conversations in accordance with the wishes of
the Japanese government. However, President Roosevelt desired that Japan
demonstrate its intention of pursuing a peaceful course instead of the
aggressive one which it had been following up to the present time. Then
President Roosevelt declared that during the age through which the world was
passing, it was necessary to look one hundred years in the future. He referred
to the extra‑territorial costs and the unusual conditions which had been
existing throughout China in the past thirty years and he stated that the
Chinese government had gone through a new experience. Referring to Ambassador
Nomura's statements regarding the Shantung problem, President Roosevelt pointed
out that it had taken three years to dispose of that question while the
Japanese-American conversations had consumed only six months.
Ambassador Nomura then dwelled
briefly on the problem of getting the Japanese troops out of China by degrees,
insisting that there would be neither annexation nor indemnity in doing so.
As the interview drew to a
close, nothing was said about the time for the next conversation, however,
Ambassador Nomura reminded President Roosevelt that Ambassador Kurusu was
expected about Saturday, November 15, 1941, and although he had nothing new to
add to the present discussion, Ambassador Nomura stated that Mr. Kurusu would
assist him in future conversations. President Roosevelt assured the Japanese
Ambassador that he expected to confer with Mr. Kurusu. [129]
b. Ambassador Nomura's Report
At a conference with President
Roosevelt and Secretary Hull held in a private room in the White House in order
to avoid newspaper publicity, Ambassador Nomura explained to the American
representatives Japan's final concessions toward peace. [130]
Ambassador Nomura began by
saying that he had been unable to speak with Secretary Hull for almost three
weeks, [131] and ever since the
resignation of Prince Konoye's Cabinet Ambassador Nomura had been hoping for an
interview with President Roosevelt. Since the informal conversations had been
in progress for almost six months the Japanese government at this time hoped
for a quick settlement of all the Far Eastern problems. However, as the
negotiations dragged on without any apparent progress, the Japanese people had
become impatient. In view of the fact that the United States had refused to
make any concessions equal to those made by Japan, the Japanese people were
doubting America's sincerity. At the present time Japan's domestic situation
was serious because the Japanese people were unable to obtain the supply of
materials necessary to their industry. Here Ambassador Nomura stated that an
economic blockade was as harmful to a country as a shooting war. Nevertheless,
anxious to maintain peace in the Pacific, the Japanese government had continued
the conversations with the United States representatives. [132]
As a final effort in obtaining
its objective, the Japanese government had made a maximum number of concessions
in its proposal to the United States. [133]
In response to these remarks
President Roosevelt stated that the United States government also had as its
main objective the establishment of peace in the Pacific based on the spirit
[129] Ibid.
[130] IV, 74‑76.
[131] Note Ambassador Nomura's conversation with
Secretary Hull on November 7, 1941.
[132] IV, 76.
[133] IV, 77.
29
of fair play.
Agreeing with the desire of the Japanese government to continue peace parleys,
President Roosevelt said that the United States had two objectives in mind:
one, the prevention of war and, two, the maintenance of a lasting peace. [134]
Since the Japanese government
appreciated the seriousness of the situation at this time, Ambassador Nomura
continued, Ambassador Kurusu was being sent to the Embassy in Washington.
Ambassador Nomura then resumed
his explanation of the latest Japanese counter proposals. He stated that these
present proposals were based on the former Japanese proposals of September 25,
1941 and modified to meet the demands of the American government expressed in
the United States proposals of October 2, 1941 as well as the opinions of
Secretary Hull and Under Secretary Welles in subsequent conversations. In
regard to the application of the non‑discriminatory commercial policy in
the entire Pacific area, Ambassador Nomura pointed out that his government had
guaranteed the extension of this policy even to China. In view of the fact that
Secretary Hull had continually spoken of his desire to see this commercial
policy in practice throughout the world, the Japanese government was certain
that its guarantees would meet with the approval of the United States. The
attitude of the Japanese government toward the European war, as it had
previously stated in its proposal of September 25, 1941. would be based on the
need for "protection and self-defense." However, Japan expected to receive
a guarantee that the United States would not interpret these terms in too broad
a sense. Unless, however, both governments placed unreserved confidence in each
other, Ambassador Nomura said, no guarantee would be satisfactory. [135]
In clarifying the third and most
important issue between the two governments Ambassador Nomura stated that Japan
was now prepared to establish the localities in China where it would be
necessary to retain its troops, and also to guarantee the period of occupation.
Although realizing that the United States desired to have Japanese forces
withdrawn immediately, Ambassador Nomura pointed out that it would be
impossible to effect such a move at the present time. However, he urged the
United States to consider Japan's concessions in the light of actual
circumstances. Ambassador Nomura concluded his remarks by submitting Japan's
proposal regarding its troops in French Indo‑China. After Ambassador
Nomura had finished, President Roosevelt said that the whole world had fallen
into a state of confusion because of the militaristic policies of certain
countries. In an attempt to return to normalcy, the United States government
has sought the establishment of peace and order in the Pacific. With that goal
in mind President Roosevelt himself had assisted in the preliminary
conversations in order to find a basis for such peace. Before going any
further, however, President Roosevelt felt it necessary to receive a definite
guarantee that the Japanese government intended to cease its aggression and
adopt a peaceful course in the Far East. [136]
In an attempt to abolish the
economic limitations to which Japan referred, President Roosevelt continued, he
had conferred with Prime Minister Churchill on the issue of nondiscrimination.
Both countries' main objection to Germany was the fact that it followed a
policy contrary to that idea while both Great Britain and the United States
wished to apply the principle of non‑discrimination to the entire world.
Referring to the administration of President Taft when the United States had
resorted to a policy of force in Cuba, President Roosevelt pointed out that
America's relations with the Latin American countries had been highly
favorable. Once the United States had adopted a new and peaceful policy, relations
[134] IV, 75.
[135] IV, 77.
[136] IV, 78.
30
THE "MAGIC" BACKGROUND OF PEARL HARBOR
with those
countries had improved. At this point Ambassador Nomura reminded President
Roosevelt that America's economic pressure was now causing the anti‑American
attitude throughout Japan. President Roosevelt continued his remarks by stating
that it was necessary to find a modus vivendi before a satisfactory
conciliation could be worked out between the two countries. Ambassador Nomura
interpreted this statement to mean that President Roosevelt desired a
provisional agreement. As the conference drew to a close, President Roosevelt
asked whether Ambassador Kurusu was bringing additional Japanese proposals from
Tokyo. Ambassador Nomura replied that Mr. Kurusu's only reason for coming was
to act as an assistant to the Japanese Ambassador. Since President Roosevelt
was leaving for Warm Springs, Georgia, on November 15, 1941 to attend a
Thanksgiving celebration there, he hoped for the opportunity of conversing with
Ambassador Kurusu before his departure. [137]
39. Japanese‑American
Conversation (November 10,1941) [138]
Because of an interruption,
Ambassador Nomura had failed to make two points clear to Secretary Hull during
the conversation earlier that morning. Therefore, Minister Wakasugi called upon
Mr. Joseph W. Ballantine to make an appointment for Ambassador Nomura to see
Secretary Hull either on the evening of November 10, 1941 or in the morning of
November 11. Louis J. Sheehan, Esquire
The first of the points to be
discussed in the next conversation related to Japan's desire to reach some
successful agreement before the Japanese Diet met on November 15, 1941. The
second point was in connection with Secretary Hull's statement made on November
7, 1941 proposing the development of a new relationship between Japan and China
by means of mutual pledges of conciliation and friendship.
Mr. Wakasugi said that the
Japanese government was extremely interested in Secretary Hull's proposals and
desired that he elaborate on them further. Mr. Ballantine promised to speak
with Secretary Hull and relay his message to Minister Wakasugi. [139]
40. Japan
Doubts America's Awareness of the Critical Situation
From the fact that little
progress had been made in the informal conversations, Foreign Minister Togo
concluded that the United States did not appreciate how critical the situation
in the Far East actually was. [140] In
order to emphasize this fact Foreign Minister Togo urged Ambassador Nomura to
speak to Secretary Hull and other American representatives in order to give
them a clear picture of Japanese‑American relations. As Foreign Minister
Togo had stated in previous messages to the Japanese Ambassador, a settlement
of some kind must be reached before November 25, 1941. The Japanese Parliament
would begin its session on November 15, 1941 and before its meeting was
concluded it would be necessary that Japan have on hand at least a tentative
agreement with the United States. [141]
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